NFL TECHNICIANS CORNER - week one

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INDIANAPOLIS at NEW ENGLAND (Thursday, September 9)...Pats have covered last 7 meetings since '99. Belichick 9-1 vs. spread at home LY (all as chalk). Tech edge-Patriots, based on recent series trends.

TENNESSEE at MIAMI...Wannstedt 1-7 vs. line at home LY (all as chalk). Wannstedt "under" 10-6 LY, 21-11 since '02, and "under" 20-9 last 29 at Pro Player (though "over" 5-3 at home LY!). Tech edge-Titans and "under", based on team and "totals" trends.

OAKLAND at PITTSBURGH...Raiders "under" 6-2 away LY, 11-5 since '02, 18-7 since '01. Oakland 1-9 vs. number last 10 away from home. Tech edge-slight to Steel, based on recent Raider road woes.

TAMPA BAY at WASHINGTON...If Gruden a dog, note he's 5-2 vs. line in role since '02 with Bucs, 15-6-1 since '99 (Oakland & T.B.). Skins only 1-5-2 vs. line at home in '03 under Spurrier. Tech edge-Bucs, especially if dog, based on team trends.

BALTIMORE at CLEVELAND...Ravens have won and covered last 2 and 4 of 5 at Cleveland since Browns came back into league in '99. Billick 9-5-2 as chalk since '02 (4-3 as road chalk). Tech edge-Ravens, based on recent series trends.

JACKSONVILLE at BUFFALO...Interestingly, Jags have covered their last 5 openers! Bills "under" all 8 at Orchard Park LY and 14 of 16 overall; "under" 23-9 overall since '02. Tech edge-"Under", based on Bills' "totals" trends.

CINCINNATI at NY JETS...Jets were 6-2 "under" as host LY, "under" 11-6 at home since '02, 17-8 since '01, and 26-14-1 since '99. Tech edge-"Under", based on Jets' home "totals" trends.

DETROIT at CHICAGO...Series "under" 5 of last 6. Tech edge-"Under", based on "totals" and team trends.

ARIZONA at ST. LOUIS...Rams 6-2-1 vs. spread as home chalk LY, and they're "over" 13-6 last 19 at Edward Jones Dome. Cards 0-8 vs. line away LY (SU and vs. spread), all as dog, and 3-13 since '02. Cards also "over" 11-5 away since '02. Tech edge-Rams and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

SEATTLE at NEW ORLEANS...Underdog 17-7-2 vs. number in Seattle's last 26 road games. Tech edge-Underdog, based on Seahawk trends.

SAN DIEGO at HOUSTON...If Marty a dog, note that he was 5-9 vs. line in role LY, 6-11 last 17 as short. Texans 6-2 vs. spread at Reliant Stadium LY, and they've covered opener past two years. Tech edge-Texans, based on team trends.

N.Y. GIANTS at PHILADELPHIA..."Unders" 6-1-1 last 8 in series, 9-3-1 last 13. Tech edge-"Under", based on series "totals" trends.

DALLAS at MINNESOTA...Dallas "under" 11-6 away since '02, 16-9 since '01, 30-14 last 44. Tech edge-"Under", based on Cowboy "totals" trends.

ATLANTA at SAN FRANCISCO...Atlanta has covered its last 6 opening games, and Falcons 15-9-2 vs. line away since '01. 49ers no covers in 6 of last 7 openers. Tech edge-Falcons, based on team trends.

KANSAS CITY at DENVER...Last five in series "over" the total, and Broncos have won and covered last 3 meetings at Denver. Chiefs "over" 22-11 since '02, and "over" 15-8-1 away since '01. Tech edge-"Over" and Broncos, based on"totals" and series trends.

GREEN BAY at CAROLINA (Monday, September 13)...Pack 3-1 vs. line as road dog LY, 6-3 since '02. Panthers poor 3-9 as chalk LY (2-6 in role at Charlotte), also "over" 11-6-1 last 18 at home. Tech edge-Pack and slight to "over", based on team and "totals" trends.

The Gold Sheet.com
 

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